XAU/USD – Gold surged prompted by the falling dollar and weaker inflation.

Here are today’s directional views from our market research desk! These can be starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that suit your trading charts and trading style. Like what you see? Feel free to forward this to a friend!

Please note that the analysis presented in the charts below should not be considered investment or trading advice. They are for educational purposes only and you should consider seeking advice from an independent financial advisor.

XAU/USD daily chart
XAU/USD daily chart

Chart Analysis:  Gold jumped up yesterday by 1.63% to touch $1824 then later dropped down to settle at $1810 and making a fresh 5-month high and creating a high wick candle on the chart.  Apparently, the tide has turned in the bull's favour and Gold has now recovered by almost 45% of the 2022 Sell-off.

The gold chart shows that the pair jumped up by $28 or 1.64% yesterday and now already testing the July month's peak before the Gold dropped sharply on 5th July due to the high inflation print. The jump was pushed by the dropping dollar from 105 to under 104. The pair is not making higher highs and lower lows moving to test the longer-term resistances on the chart.

The 20-day SMA is rising to catch up with the prices and is followed by the 50-day SMA. The 200 Day SMA has also dropped below the prices indicating a full bullish bias of the markets. The MACD indicator line is still trading in the overbought zone staying above the signal line. As soon as the blue indicator line moves below the orange signal line and starts to part away would signal a Sell off on Gold.

Daily Chart Directional bias - 1 Week 

  • Resistance Zone: $1845 to $1855
  • Key Resistance Level: $1825
  • Major Pivot Point: $1802
  • Key Support Level: $1765
  • Support Zone: $1750 to $1740
  • 200 Day SMA – Green Line
  • 50 Day SMA – Red Line
  • 20 Day SMA – Blue Line

Chart Trading Insights

Trade Insights – XAU/USD

The chart shows viable long positions above the major pivot point at $1802 heading towards the first target of the key resistance level at $1825 and then the test of the key resistance zone between $1845 to $1855

Alternatively, possible short positions below the major pivot point at $1802 with the target of the key support level at $1765 then the test of the support zone between $1750 to $1740.

It is important to understand that the analysis is intended for educational purposes only. Traders are encouraged to use their own judgment and analysis when making trading decisions.


1. Identify the Balance Point on the chart – The Balance Point is a level on the chart that represents an equilibrium point between supply and demand. It can serve as a potential entry point for a trade. It’s important for the trader to determine whether the current price is above or below the Balance Point before making any trading decisions.

2.
Wait for the price to approach potential profit levels – After entering a trade, it may be helpful to wait for the price to approach potential profit levels on the chart. These levels can be identified as areas where price reversals have occurred in the past. When the price approaches a potential profit level, it may be time to consider initiating further trades to test the next level of take profit limits.

3. Monitor the trade as the price hovers around the Balance Point – While the price is hovering around the Balance Point, it’s important to monitor the trade and make adjustments as necessary to ensure that it is still in line with market conditions. If market conditions change, it may be best to exit the trade.

4. Determine the market direction – Once a clear market direction has been established, the trader can set the trade with stop loss and take profit limits as they appear on the chart. It may also be helpful to consider using trailing stops to lock in profits and minimize potential losses. To determine the market direction, the trader may use technical analysis and other market indicators.

5. It’s important to remember that technical indicators, including the RSI, are not foolproof and can sometimes provide false signals. Therefore, it’s important to exercise caution when making trading decisions based solely on technical indicators. To make informed trading decisions, it’s recommended to use technical indicators in conjunction with other indicators and analysis

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