XAU/USD – Gold price is very Volatile as Inflation data leaves the market in confusion initially and later rebounds sharply to erase all losses.

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Please note that the analysis presented in the charts below should not be considered investment or trading advice. They are for educational purposes only and you should consider seeking advice from an independent financial advisor.

S&P 500 Jumped up by 2.60% yesterday, Dow Jones surged by 2.83% or 1500 points and the Nasdaq composite gained 2.23% in a historic one-day turnaround as the Inflation rate in the US slowed for the third month to 8.2% in September 2022. This is the lowest reading in the past seven months at 8.2% compared to 8.3% in 8.3% in August. The market saw a choppy session yesterday where the stocks fell to their lowest levels since 2020 to touch 3494 points and then posted a stunning rebound.

US Inflation rate
US Inflation rate
S&P 500 daily chart
S&P 500 daily chart

Gold - XAU/USD – Gold price is very Volatile as Inflation data leaves the market in confusion initially and later rebounds sharply to erase all losses.

XAU/USD daily chart

Chart Analysis:

Gold bounced back up from $1643 a new recent low after yesterday's US inflation news. Gold dropped after touching the 20-Day SMA and is not sliding back to testing the Key Support Level at $1660. The MACD indicator is reaching a cross between the indicator line and a signal line showing there could be a weakness in gold prices in the coming week. Prices are far below the 50 Day EMA and 200 Dam EMA indicators which shows the investors are unsure and Gold is probably looking for an inflection point.

Please check the Chart Trading Insights below

  • Resistance Zone: $1700 to $1720
  • Key Resistance Level: $1690
  • Major Pivot Point: $1672
  • Key Support Level: $1660
  • Support Zone: $1642 to $1630
  • 200 Day SMA – Green Line
  • 50 Day SMA – Red Line
  • 20 Day SMA – Blue Line

Daily Chart Directional bias - 2 Weeks 

Trade Insights

XAUUSD – Chart shows viable Short Positions below the Key Support Level at $1660 heading towards the first target of Support Zone at $1642 further test of the Support at $1630.

Possible entry of Short Trades below the Key Support at $1660.

Potential First take profit could be at - $1642

Potential Second take profit could be at - $1630

Alternatively, possible Long positions if Gold stays above the Key Support Level at $1660 with the target to test the Major Pivot at $1672 and then the test of the Key Resistance Level at $1690.

Possible Entry for Long trades if Gold stays above the Key support at $1660

Potential First take profit could be at - $1672

Potential Second take profit could be at - $1690

Potential Third take profit could be at - $1700

It is important to understand that the analysis is intended for educational purposes only. Traders are encouraged to use their own judgment and analysis when making trading decisions.


1. Identify the Balance Point on the chart – The Balance Point is a level on the chart that represents an equilibrium point between supply and demand. It can serve as a potential entry point for a trade. It’s important for the trader to determine whether the current price is above or below the Balance Point before making any trading decisions.

2.
Wait for the price to approach potential profit levels – After entering a trade, it may be helpful to wait for the price to approach potential profit levels on the chart. These levels can be identified as areas where price reversals have occurred in the past. When the price approaches a potential profit level, it may be time to consider initiating further trades to test the next level of take profit limits.

3. Monitor the trade as the price hovers around the Balance Point – While the price is hovering around the Balance Point, it’s important to monitor the trade and make adjustments as necessary to ensure that it is still in line with market conditions. If market conditions change, it may be best to exit the trade.

4. Determine the market direction – Once a clear market direction has been established, the trader can set the trade with stop loss and take profit limits as they appear on the chart. It may also be helpful to consider using trailing stops to lock in profits and minimize potential losses. To determine the market direction, the trader may use technical analysis and other market indicators.

5. It’s important to remember that technical indicators, including the RSI, are not foolproof and can sometimes provide false signals. Therefore, it’s important to exercise caution when making trading decisions based solely on technical indicators. To make informed trading decisions, it’s recommended to use technical indicators in conjunction with other indicators and analysis

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